Fury over Public Health England's claim that vaccines have prevented 23.4million Covid case

Fury over Public Health England's claim that vaccines have prevented 23.4million Covid cases as top experts say estimate is 'away with the fairies' and mathematically impossible

EXCLUSIVE: Professor David Livermore says modelling needs serious 'review'

Government-run agency boasted vaccine rollout has prevented 23million cases 

Sources admit predicting how many cases there'd be without jabs is 'impossible' 

 vaccines have prevented 23.4million infections. The Government-run agency, which will be axed within a matter of weeks, yesterday released 'remarkable' updated estimates about how well the jabs have worked. As well as drastically curbing the spread of the coronavirus, the PHE data suggested vaccines have saved more than 84,000 lives and prevented almost 67,000 hospital admissions. But experts today questioned the maths behind the estimate. Professor David Livermore, a microbiologist at the University of East Anglia, said the jabs have undoubtedly thwarted the spread of Covid and saved tens of thousands of lives. 

    But he told MailOnline it 'cannot possibly be correct' that more than 20million cases were stopped. Vaccines are thought to cut infections by around 60 per cent, so in order for them to have prevented 23.4million, the UK would have had to have seen approximately 17m cases among unvaccinated people since the start of the rollout, he explained. There have only been 3.8million confirmed cases among the entire population since the start of the year — and most have been unvaccinated during that time.            Professor Livermore said: 'The 85,000 deaths prevented is plausible — it’d be a fifth of the care home population, who are the most vulnerable. 'But 23.4million infections prevented cannot possibly be correct. I find myself a little shocked that (the figure) isn’t getting a sanity check anywhere. 'It’s away with the fairies and whatever mathematical model has been used to project these numbers needs a serious review.'